Absence of 1/f Spectra in Dow Jones Daily Average
نویسنده
چکیده
The power spectrum of the daily Dow Jones industrial average is calculated. It has been shown that the spectrum is P (f) 1=f, very close to that of the random walk series (1=f noise). In contrast to some previous belief, the Dow Jones index as well as other stock prices time series are not 1=f noise. The distribution of the daily change of the Dow Jones industrial average is also calculated. Several ttings of the distribution are carried out (for both the price change and the logarithm of the price change). It has been observed that the occurrence of the big loss on Black Monday (negative change of 508) does not t the distribution of the smaller price uctuations (e.g., smaller than 100). This lack of scaling for the frequency of occurrence from the large stock price losses to small price uctuations can be compared with the much better scaling law in the frequency of occurrence for global earthquakes.
منابع مشابه
Absence of 1/f Spectra in Dow Jones Daily Price
The power spectra for the daily Dow Jones average, both the original series and the de-trended series, are calculated. The spectra are of the form 1/ fCi with a close to 2 instead of 1. Also studied is the distribution of daily price changes which is in-between an exponential and a power law function. With certain criterion, this result suggests that stock market activities may not be qualified...
متن کاملSignatures of Quantum-like Chaos in Dow Jones Index
Dow Jones Index time series exhibit irregular or fractal fluctuations on all time scales from days, months to years. The apparently irregular (nonlinear) fluctuations are selfsimilar as exhibited in inverse power law form for power spectra of temporal fluctuations. Inverse power law form for power spectra of fractal fluctuations in space or time is generic to all dynamical systems in nature and...
متن کاملTesting Weak-Form Efficient Capital Market Case Study: TSE and DJUS Indices
The present study investigated weak-form market information efficiency in Tehran security exchange (TSE) as an emerging market and in Dow Jones United States security exchange (DJUS) as a developed market based on random walk model. In each market, the random walk model was examined using daily and monthly returns of a set of indices. The results of the parametric and non-parametric tests indic...
متن کاملDEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF CANTERBURY CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND Machine news and volatility: The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the TRNA sentiment series
This paper features an analysis of the relationship between the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index and a sentiment news series using daily data obtained from the Thomson Reuters News Analytics (TRNA) provided by SIRCA (The Securities Industry Research Centre of the Asia Pacific). The expansion of on-line financial news sources, such as internet news and social media sou...
متن کاملTaking Stock: Here Are Simple Tools For Gauging the Health of the Market
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL After Friday's 30-point swoon in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, it's time for a stock market checkup . The market ran hard and high for six weeks. And there isn't any reason to think there aren't more gains ahead this year and maybe next year, many analysts say . But just as you don't keeping tooling down the highway in your car without occasionally...
متن کامل